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Grammy 2002 Winner Predictions

Here are our predictions for who will win, who should win and who doesn’t stand a chance.

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Grammy 2002 Winner Predictions

U2 tops this year’s list of Grammy nominees, leading with eight nods including one in each of the three top categories. In an apparent effort to keep the annual awards ceremony relevant (Steely Dan’s Best Album of the Year win all but negated the progress achieved with Lauryn Hill’s win three years ago), India.Arie, easily the ho-hummiest of recent neo-soul songstresses, scored a whopping seven nominations. Another newcomer, Alicia Keys, has six nominations to her name. Slant Magazine boldly predicts that Arie will lose out in all of the top categories (her nominations alone are enough to make the Academy’s point: “We’re hip, we really are!”). Here are our predictions for who will win, who should win and who doesn’t stand a chance:

RECORD OF THE YEAR

Though U2 won in this category last year, it’s unlikely Grammy voters will grace the band with another Record of the Year trophy, especially for a song that was only a moderate hit. Outkast’s “Ms. Jackson” was a big enough crossover hit to win the Academy over but neo-soul newcomers Keys and Arie could certainly give the hip-hop pioneers a run for their money. Also nominated: Train’s “Drops of Jupiter.”

Will Win: Alicia Keys “Fallin’”

Should Win: Outkast “Ms. Jackson”

ALBUM OF THE YEAR

In 2000, U2 hung up their synthesizers and delivered the kind of album Grammy voters love to salivate over. About as by-the-numbers as the band has ever been, All That You Can’t Leave Behind could very well win Grammy’s coveted prize on February 27th. Still, the Irish quartet have some stiff competition: Bob Dylan (though he won in 1998, Love & Theft was one of the most critically acclaimed albums of 2001) and Outkast (while easily the most deserving, Stankonia never reached the commercial heights of Hill’s Miseducation). However, don’t count out the soundtrack to the Cohen Brothers film O Brother, Where Art Thou?; it’s the top-selling album in the category and has won over critics and listeners alike. Slant predicts the blue-grass album will be the first soundtrack to win Album of the Year since 1992’s The Bodyguard. Also nominated: Arie’s Acoustic Soul.

Will Win: Soundtrack O Brother, Where Art Thou?

Should Win: Outkast Stankonia

SONG OF THE YEAR

Another double-win for U2 in the Record and Song of the Year categories is virtually out of the question this year as “Walk On” and “Stuck in a Moment You Can’t Get Out Of” should cancel each other out. A double-win, however, is possible for Keys whose “Fallin’” is nominated for both awards. Nelly Furtado and Train, also nominated in both categories, will likely remain seated during the ceremony’s bigger categories. Also nominated: Arie’s “Video.”

Will Win: Alicia Keys “Fallin’”

Should Win: Alicia Keys “Fallin’”

BEST NEW ARTIST

White voters robbed Jill Scott of a Best New Artist trophy last year, but with Linkin Park a little too hard and David Gray a little too Euro, it’s Keys’ award to lose. Grammy loves to give it to the ladies in this category. It might be Arie’s best chance for Grammy gold and Furtado, who’s proven she’s more than just a one-hit wonder, could benefit from a split vote.

Will Win: Alicia Keys

Should Win: Alicia Keys

BEST POP VOCAL ALBUM

Past winners include vanilla-pop such as Sting, James Taylor and Celine Dion so Elton John and Sade are front-runners in the Best Pop Vocal Album category. Madonna’s first foray into electronic-pop won over voters in 1999 but Janet Jackson’s All For You is no Ray Of Light and Nelly Furtado, though more than worthy, may be a little too young and kinky for the Academy. Look for Sir Elton to snag his sixth Grammy. Also nominated: ’NSync’s Celebrity.

Will Win: Elton John Songs from the West Coast

Should Win: Nelly Furtado Whoa, Nelly!

BEST DANCE RECORDING

No other category more clearly defines the demographics of Grammy voters than the Best Dance Recording category (last year’s one-hit winner: “Who Let the Dogs Out”). The sheer fact that Polka has its own category while electronic music still gets lumped in with Alternative and Pop just goes to show how out of touch the Academy really is. Producers Brian Rawling and Mark Taylor certainly can’t help Lionel Richie win the way they did Cher in 2000 and who other than 37 year-old gay men at Roxy knew Gloria Estefan was still making music? More worthy nominees include Daft Punk’s “One More Time,” Janet Jackson’s “All for You” and Depeche Mode’s “I Feel Loved.”

Will Win: Janet Jackson “All for You”

Should Win: Depeche Mode “I Feel Loved”

BEST ROCK ALBUM

Ryan Adams could reap the rewards of his over-hyped Gold with only U2 to hold him back. Linkin Park stands a chance with Hybrid Theory, the biggest-selling album of last year, but Aerosmith’s Just Push Play hardly made a sound. In the end, look for U2 to send PJ Harvey home empty-handed yet again.

Will Win: U2 All That You Can’t Leave Behind

Should Win: PJ Harvey Stories from the City, Stories from the Sea

BEST ALTERNATIVE MUSIC ALBUM

Grammy’s Alternative category has become a veritable dumping ground for those on the outskirts of the American mainstream (artists like U2 and PJ Harvey, who were previously nominated in this category, are now considered “Rock.”) Radiohead may have over-saturated their niche with two back-to-back albums and Björk’s Vespertine may have been a bit too quiet despite the performer’s recent high profile. Tori Amos has certainly earned her dues but this one will likely go to British imports Coldplay or Fatboy Slim, the electronic maestro whose Halfway Between the Gutter and the Stars spawned the award-winning “Weapon Of Choice.”

Will Win: Fatboy Slim Halfway Between the Gutter and the Stars

Should Win: Tori Amos Strange Little Girls

BEST R&B ALBUM

Probably the toughest category to call, Best R&B Album is all dolled-up and testosterone-free. Destiny’s Child (last year’s winners of Best R&B Performance) might not be able to weather the storm of Mary J. Blige’s No More Drama and Keys’s Songs in A Minor. Blige is the category’s veteran (the other nominees’ average age is 21) but voters, like those at the American Music Awards, might not be able to ignore the lovely Aaliyah. Also nominated: Arie’s Acoustic Soul.

Will Win: Aaliyah Aaliyah

Should Win: Aaliyah Aaliyah

BEST RAP ALBUM

Eve and Ja Rule could benefit from their pop collaborations with Gwen Stefani and Jennifer Lopez, respectively, but Jay-Z and Outkast are the rappers to beat. Jay-Z won in this category three years ago but unless voters deem Stankonia too old of a buzz record, Outkast is a shoe-in. Also nominated: Ludacris’s Back for the First Time.

Will Win: Outkast Stankonia

Should Win: Outkast Stankonia

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2018 Tony Nominations: Mean Girls and SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical Lead, Followed by Angels in America

The Tony nominations were announced Tuesday morning, with Mean Girls and SpongeBob SquarePants: the Musical leading the way with 12 nominations.

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2018 Tony Nominations: Mean Girls and SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical Lead, Followed by Angels in America
Photo: Helen Maybanks

Nominations for the 72nd Tony Awards were announced this morning by Katharine McPhee and Leslie Odom Jr. Leading the pack with 12 nominations each is Mean Girls and SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical, followed by The Band’s Visit, Angels in America, and Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel, all three with 11. And with 10 nominations is Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two and the revival of My Fair Lady. The awards will be broadcast live from Radio City Music Hall on Sunday, June 10 on CBS.

See below for a full list of the nominations.

Best Book of a Musical
The Band’s Visit, Itamar Moses
Frozen, Jennifer Lee
Mean Girls, Tina Fey
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical, Kyle Jarrow

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
Angels in America, Music: Adrian Sutton
The Band’s Visit, Music & Lyrics: David Yazbek
Frozen, Music & Lyrics: Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
Mean Girls, Music: Jeff Richmond, Lyrics: Nell Benjamin
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical, Music & Lyrics: Yolanda Adams, Steven Tyler & Joe Perry of Aerosmith, Sara Bareilles, Jonathan Coulton, Alex Ebert of Edward Sharpe & The Magnetic Zeros, The Flaming Lips, Lady Antebellum, Cyndi Lauper & Rob Hyman, John Legend, Panic! at the Disco, Plain White T’s, They Might Be Giants, T.I., Domani & Lil’C

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play
Andrew Garfield, Angels in America
Tom Hollander, Travesties
Jamie Parker, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Mark Rylance, Farinelli and The King
Denzel Washington, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play
Glenda Jackson, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
Condola Rashad, Saint Joan
Lauren Ridloff, Children of a Lesser God
Amy Schumer, Meteor Shower

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical
Harry Hadden-Paton, My Fair Lady
Joshua Henry, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Tony Shalhoub, The Band’s Visit
Ethan Slater, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical
Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady
Hailey Kilgore, Once On This Island
LaChanze, Summer: The Donna Summer Musical
Katrina Lenk, The Band’s Visit
Taylor Louderman, Mean Girls
Jessie Mueller, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play
Anthony Boyle, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Michael Cera, Lobby Hero
Brian Tyree Henry, Lobby Hero
Nathan Lane, Angels in America
David Morse, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play
Susan Brown, Angels in America
Noma Dumezweni, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Deborah Findlay, The Children
Denise Gough, Angels in America
Laurie Metcalf, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical
Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady
Alexander Gemignani, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Grey Henson, Mean Girls
Gavin Lee, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Ari’el Stachel, The Band’s Visit

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical
Ariana DeBose, Summer: The Donna Summer Musical
Renée Fleming, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Lindsay Mendez, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Ashley Park, Mean Girls
Diana Rigg, My Fair Lady

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Miriam Buether, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
Jonathan Fensom, Farinelli and The King
Christine Jones, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Santo Loquasto, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh
Ian MacNeil and Edward Pierce, Angels in America

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Dane Laffrey, Once On This Island
Scott Pask, The Band’s Visit
Scott Pask, Finn Ross & Adam Young, Mean Girls
Michael Yeargan, My Fair Lady
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical

Best Costume Design of a Play
Jonathan Fensom, Farinelli and The King
Nicky Gillibrand, Angels in America
Katrina Lindsay, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Ann Roth, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
Ann Roth, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Gregg Barnes, Mean Girls
Clint Ramos, Once On This Island
Ann Roth, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Catherine Zuber, My Fair Lady

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Neil Austin, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Paule Constable, Angels in America
Jules Fisher + Peggy Eisenhauer, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh
Paul Russell, Farinelli and The King
Ben Stanton, Junk

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Jules Fisher + Peggy Eisenhauer, Once On This Island
Donald Holder, My Fair Lady
Brian MacDevitt, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Tyler Micoleau, The Band’s Visit

Best Sound Design of a Play
Adam Cork, Travesties
Ian Dickinson for Autograph, Angels in America
Gareth Fry, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Tom Gibbons, 1984
Dan Moses Schreier, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh

Best Sound Design of a Musical
Kai Harada, The Band’s Visit
Peter Hylenski, Once On This Island
Scott Lehrer, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel
Brian Ronan, Mean Girls
Walter Trarbach and Mike Dobson, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical

Best Direction of a Play
Marianne Elliott, Angels in America
Joe Mantello, Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
Patrick Marber, Travesties
John Tiffany, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
George C. Wolfe, Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh

Best Direction of a Musical
Michael Arden, Once On This Island
David Cromer, The Band’s Visit
Tina Landau, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Bartlett Sher, My Fair Lady

Best Choreography
Christopher Gattelli, My Fair Lady
Christopher Gattelli, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
Steven Hoggett, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Justin Peck, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

Best Orchestrations
John Clancy, Mean Girls
Tom Kitt, SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical
AnnMarie Milazzo and Michael Starobin, Once On This Island
Jamshied Sharifi, The Band’s Visit
Jonathan Tunick, Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

Best Play
The Children, Author: Lucy Kirkwood
Farinelli and The King, Author: Claire van Kampen
Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two, Author: Jack Thorne
Junk, Author: Ayad Akhtar
Latin History for Morons, Author: John Leguizamo

Best Musical
The Band’s Visit
Frozen
Mean Girls
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical

Best Revival of a Play
Angels in America
Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women
Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh
Lobby Hero
Travesties

Best Revival of a Musical
My Fair Lady
Once On This Island
Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel

Recipients of Awards and Honors in Non-competitive Categories

Special Tony Awards for Lifetime Achievement in the Theatre
Chita Rivera
Andrew Lloyd Webber

Special Tony Awards
John Leguizamo
Bruce Springsteen

Regional Theatre Tony Award
La MaMa E.T.C. New York City

Isabelle Stevenson Tony Award
Nick Scandalios

Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre
Sara Krulwich
Bessie Nelson
Ernest Winzer Cleaners

Tony Nominations by Production
Mean Girls – 12
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Musical – 12
Angels in America – 11
The Band’s Visit – 11
Rodgers & Hammerstein’s Carousel – 11
Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts One and Two – 10
My Fair Lady – 10
Eugene O’Neill’s The Iceman Cometh – 8
Once On This Island – 8
Edward Albee’s Three Tall Women – 6
Farinelli and The King – 5
Travesties – 4
Frozen – 3
Lobby Hero – 3
The Children – 2
Junk – 2
Summer: The Donna Summer Musical – 2
Children of a Lesser God – 1
Latin History for Morons – 1
Meteor Shower – 1
1984 – 1
Saint Joan – 1

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Oscar 2018 Winner Predictions

This is a complete list of our predicted winners at the 2018 Academy Awards with links to individual articles.

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Oscar 2018 Winner Predictions
Photo: Fox Searchlight Pictures

This is a complete list of our predicted winners at the 2018 Academy Awards with links to individual articles.

Picture: Get Out
Director: Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Actor: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Actress: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Supporting Actor: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Original Screenplay: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Adapted Screenplay: Call Me by Your Name
Foreign Language: A Fantastic Woman
Documentary Feature: Icarus
Animated Feature Film: Coco
Documentary Short: Heaven Is a Traffic Jam on the 405
Animated Short: Revolting Rhymes
Live Action Short: The Eleven O’Clock
Film Editing: Dunkirk
Production Design: The Shape of Water
Cinematography: The Shape of Water
Costume Design: Phantom Thread
Makeup and Hairstyling: Darkest Hour
Score: The Shape of Water
Song: “Remember Me,” Coco
Sound Editing: Dunkirk
Sound Mixing: Dunkirk
Visual Effects: War for the Planet of the Apes

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Oscar 2018 Winner Predictions: Picture

What the contents of Faye Dunaway’s envelope taught us is that best picture can’t just be the most safely, inoffensively well-liked film.

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Oscar 2018 Winner Predictions: Picture
Photo: Universal Pictures

It all comes back to Faye Dunaway’s envelope. That moment when the surest best picture winner since Schindler’s List was announced, Hollywood reacted with one final weary round of applause, and Oscar-party attendees everywhere started collecting their coats. And then came the shock to end all shocks, what Mike D’Angelo correctly identified as “the greatest moment in Film Twitter history.” What’s more, PwC’s mistake has now blossomed into the gift that keeps on giving. Because absolutely no one—not even Sasha Stone, who’s been executing an exhaustive control-group ballot experiment the likes of which would make Nate Silver suggest dialing it down—is even remotely confident about what they should predict will win the top prize this year.

It’s not just last year’s snafu that’s knee-checked Oscar prognosticators in every corner, though that does sweeten the spectacle. Fans of Vanity Fair’s Oscar podcast Little Gold Men are, by now, all too familiar with the almost existential crisis that those tasked with this most reactionary of pastimes have been suffering in the wake of Moonlight toppling La La Land. Every week, the hosts have been talking themselves out of declaring last week’s favorite this week’s confirmed frontrunner, walking back on this film and then dipping their toes into that one. Add to that the much-publicized influx of new blood among the AMPAS’s voters, and the still-fresh deployment of a ranked-choice balloting protocol for the top award. Normally, this hand wringing would all feel like Oscar bloggers justifying their own vocation by drumming up artificial suspense, but the fact is that more films out of this year’s nominees are still thought of as being in the mix than have been ruled out.

It would have been easy, in fact, to predict which five films would’ve been nominated if Oscar had never expanded their slate: Dunkirk, Get Out, Lady Bird, The Shape of Water, and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (with Phantom Thread this year’s recipient of the “orphan best director nod for a movie that’s frankly too good for the whole room” prize). Traditional Oscar rules from, say, a decade ago would’ve favored Guillermo del Toro’s The Shape of Water, which has the requisite spread of guild prizes and the year’s biggest nomination count across a broad selection of categories, including the all-important bellwethers that weren’t necessarily sure shots given the field: original screenplay and editing. And its only distant competition would have been the Golden Globe and SAG ensemble-winning Three Billboards.

But, much as some continue to resist it, the numbers game has changed, and adjustments must be made. On a recent episode of Little Gold Men, guest Daniel Joyaux argued that the key to figuring out what will actually win best picture, especially in a competitive year, is to take into account which films are most likely to be eliminated in the first few rounds of tallying. If the film likely to have the least first-choice votes is The Post or Darkest Hour, you should consider then what those voters are most likely to have as their second- and third-choice picks. For Joyaux, that favors the traditional albeit fanboy-friendly Dunkirk, which is a plausible scenario.

However, what the contents of Faye Dunaway’s envelope taught us is that best picture can’t just be the most safely, inoffensively well-liked film. It also has to be a film that’s in the conversation, a film that can’t be denied second- and third-place votes, even if they’re somewhat begrudging. That’s why we not only see the incendiary flashpoint Three Billboards outpacing the nostalgic The Shape of Water, we envisage the Academy doubling down on waking up the room with wokeness and rewarding the politically acute genre miscegenation of Get Out. And we’re not the only ones.

Will Win: Get Out

Could Win: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Should Win: Phantom Thread

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