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The Red Turtle (#110 of 2)

Oscar 2017 Winner Predictions Animated Feature

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Oscar 2017 Winner Predictions: Animated Feature

Walt Disney Pictures Motion Pictures

Oscar 2017 Winner Predictions: Animated Feature

Two years ago, we tripped ourselves up trying to figure out if non-Oscar-nominated The Lego Movie winning the BAFTA over Big Hero 6 was more or less telling than How to Train Your Dragon 2 failing to even get a nomination from the Brits. We put our chips on How to Train Your Dragon 2 and came up short, ignoring Oscar’s aversion to sequels and BAFTA’s especially good predictive value in determining this category’s winner. To date, no film has won the Oscar here without at least being nominated for the BAFTA award, which doesn’t bode well for My Life As a Zucchini and The Red Turtle.

Los Cabos International Film Festival Jackie, Voyage of Time, Hasta la Raiz, & The Red Turtle

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Los Cabos International Film Festival: Jackie, Voyage of Time, Hasta la Raiz, & The Red Turtle

Fox Searchlight Pictures

Los Cabos International Film Festival: Jackie, Voyage of Time, Hasta la Raiz, & The Red Turtle

When I left my apartment in Brooklyn for John F. Kennedy International Airport, late at night on November 8th, neither Hilary Rodham Clinton nor Donald J. Trump had yet secured the 270 electoral votes necessary to be elected the 45th president of the United States. By the time I got through security checks and made it to my gate—where TV screens were broadcasting returns from key battleground states—the race was called. Of course, I needn’t hear the result: I saw it on the faces of the people waiting to board, a mix of utter shock and overwhelming concern that the future of our republic would be determined by the most inexperienced, unqualified, and roundly disreputable person to ever hold the highest office.