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Oscar 2016 Composite Winner Predictions

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Oscar 2016 Composite Winner Predictions

Warner Bros.

Oscar 2016 Composite Winner Predictions

This is a complete list of our predicted winners at the 2016 Academy Awards with links to individual articles.

Picture: The Revenant
Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant
Actor: Leondardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Actress: Brie Larson, Room
Supporting Actor: Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Supporting Actress: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Original Screenplay: Spotlight
Adapted Screenplay: The Big Short
Foreign Language: Son of Saul
Documentary Feature: Amy
Animated Feature Film: Inside Out
Documentary Short: Last Day of Freedom
Animated Short: Sanjay’s Super Team
Live Action Short: Ave Maria
Film Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Production Design: Mad Max: Fury Road
Cinematography: The Revenant
Costume Design: Cinderella
Makeup and Hairstyling: Mad Max: Fury Road
Score: The Hateful Eight
Song: “Til It Happens to You,” The Hunting Season
Sound Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
Sound Mixing: The Revenant
Visual Effects: Mad Max: Fury Road

Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions Picture

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Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions: Picture

20th Century Fox

Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions: Picture

Ed’s fanciful daydream yesterday of simply posting an angry-face emoji in place of a prediction article for best director, while droll, gets right to the heart of the frustrations anyone who follows the Oscar race in real time—in other words, the damned. First and foremost among them, those who actually make a living on, to quote Faye Dunaway’s Joan Crawford in Mommie Dearest, “supplying the grease that makes this shitty movie business work.” In a piece positively dripping with subtweet shade, former Slant contributor Calum Marsh took a look at the role full-time Oscar bloggers play in devaluing the entire enterprise—an enterprise, one hastens to add, built on awarding such enduring classics as Cavalcade, Cimarron, and The Great Ziegfeld.

Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions Director

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Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions: Director

20th Century Fox

Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions: Director

For my last prediction article of this arduous awards season, I had hoped to post only a screencap of Facebook’s new angry-face emoji before crawling into a horse carcass until the Oscar ceremony was over, but decided that I shouldn’t respond to Hollywood’s laziness in kind. As such, I’m forced to relate another true story, of how, following the announcement of how much money The Revenant made in its first weekend of wide release, I fired off an email to my fellow Oscar guru, Eric, too laden with expletives to reprint, but whose gist had to do with at least two major races now being “done” deals.

Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions Adapted Screenplay

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Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions: Adapted Screenplay

Paramount Pictures

Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions: Adapted Screenplay

The absence of the two most-nominated films from the screenplay categories means two things. First, Cahiers du Cinéma has finally defeated Oscar’s longstanding defense of the American equivalent of “Tradition of Quality” filmmaking and a director’s force of personality can override such bourgeois concerns as plot construction, character development, and dialogue. Second, these categories got a whole lot easier to predict— and best picture that much more difficult, since outside of the perfect storm that lifted Titanic to its record-tying haul, it’s been 50 years since a film won the top award without a screenplay nomination. But mercifully we get to kick that can for another couple of weeks. In the meantime, four other best picture nominees and one unexpectedly snubbed also-ran would seem to make for a close race, though it doesn’t take much effort to isolate the weak links.

Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions Actress

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Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions: Actress

A24

Oscar 2016 Winner Predictions: Actress

Will voters who secretly agree with the eternally crusty Charlotte Rampling’s tempest-in-a-teapot comments about the purported reverse racism of #OscarsSoWhite feel like tempting fate this year? Will those who don’t even care one way or the other about her performance throw her a secret vote in solidarity? She quickly recanted her comments, saying she was misinterpreted, but this is one year no genies will easily go back into their bottles. It doesn’t matter matter how great her performance may be in Andrew Haigh’s patient 45 Years. Her impatient retraction, made as Academy members are publicly sighing their collective exasperation over being called out, simply felt unconvincing. Rampling’s firm, tony demeanor on and off screen, compounded by almost exclusively highbrow critics’ enthusiasm in her favor, was probably never going to move the needle much for an AMPAS still struggling to reassure the public they’re in touch with the times. But sticking to her guns may have given the longshot her best chance.

2016 Oscar Nomination Predictions

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2016 Oscar Nomination Predictions

The Weinstein Company

2016 Oscar Nomination Predictions

Every year, Oscar bloggers put on a pretty good show in pointing out how, unlike all previous years (which were inevitably forgone conclusions long before the ballots were even tallied), this year is truly a wild, unpredictable free-for-all. Maybe it’s only an affectation that allows them an opportunity to furtively inflate their own sense of accomplishment when they end up nailing at least 85 percent of the eventual nominees. But damned if this isn’t one of those years where you can at least forgive the indulgence.

Every day for the last week has seen some guild slate or another either kill or revive almost every film’s chances at least once, each twist and turn cueing a chorus of “I told you so” from those momentarily proven right. “You see? I told you Carol was too cold and cerebral.” “No way they’re going to be able to restrain themselves from nominating Star Wars: The Force Awakens when it’s slaying box-office records.” “I knew you were all underestimating how much people loved Ex Machina when it was literally the only quality studio film in theaters for a three-month span.”

While it would be an exaggeration to categorize all this sound and fury about something signifying next to nothing “fun,” at the very least the hubbub this Oscar year offers welcome respite from the grinding monotony of the presidential race. Though even there, and most certainly unlike this year’s Best Director prospects, at least the possibility exists that a woman will get a nomination.